We are seeking a list of all papers, published and unpublished, which examine the relationship between resource prices and conflict.

If you are aware of any papers not included below, please email us at blair@polisci.ucla.edu.


Abidoye, Babatunde, and Massimiliano Calì. 2015. Income Shocks and Conflict: Evidence from Nigeria. The World Bank. https://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/abs/10.1596/1813-9450-7213.

Aguirre, Alvaro. 2016. “Fiscal Policy and Civil Conflict in Africa.” Journal of African Economies 25(4): 614–36.

Ahrens, Achim. 2015. “Conflict in Africa: Climate, Economic Shocks and Spill-over Effects.” SEEC Discussion Papers (1501).

Andersen, Jørgen Juel, Frode Martin Nordvik, and Andrea Tesei. 2017. “Oil and Civil Conflict: On and Off (Shore).” CESifo Working Paper Series (6346).

Arezki, Rabah, and Markus Brückner. 2011. “Oil Rents, Corruption, and State Stability: Evidence from Panel Data Regressions.” European Economic Review 55(7): 955–63.

Arezki, Rabah, and Thorvaldur Gylfason. 2013. “Resource Rents, Democracy, Corruption and Conflict: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa.” Journal of African Economies 22(4): 552–69.

Basedau, Matthias, and Jan Henryk Pierskalla. 2014. “How Ethnicity Conditions the Effect of Oil and Gas on Civil Conflict: A Spatial Analysis of Africa from 1990 to 2010.” Political Geography 38: 1–11.

Bazzi, Samuel, and Christopher Blattman. 2014. “Economic Shocks and Conflict: Evidence from Commodity Prices.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 6(4): 1–38.

Berman, Nicolas, and Mathieu Couttenier. 2015. “External Shocks, Internal Shots: The Geography of Civil Conflicts.” Review of Economics and Statistics 97(4): 758–76.

Berman, Nicolas, Mathieu Couttenier, Dominic Rohner, and Mathias Thoenig. 2017. “This Mine Is Mine! How Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa.” American Economic Review 107(6): 1564–1610.

Besley, Timothy J, and Torsten Persson. 2008. “The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence.” NBER Working Paper (14585).

Besley, Timothy, and Torsten Persson. 2009. “Repression or Civil War?” American Economic Review 99(2): 292–97.

Brückner, Markus, and Antonio Ciccone. 2010. “International Commodity Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa.” The Economic Journal 120(544): 519–34.

Calì, Massimiliano, and Alen Mulabdic. 2017. “Trade and Civil Conflict: Revisiting the Cross-Country Evidence.” Review of International Economics 25(1): 195–232.

Carreri, Maria, and Oeindrila Dube. 2017. “Do Natural Resources Influence Who Comes to Power, and How?” The Journal of Politics 79(2): 502–18.

Christensen, Darin. 2019. “Concession Stands: How Mining Investments Incite Protest in Africa.” International Organization 73(1).

Christensen, Darin, Mai Nguyen, and Renard Sexton. 2019. “Strategic Violence During Democratization: Evidence from Myanmar.” World Politics.

Christian, Cornelius. 2017. “Lynchings, Labour, and Cotton in the Us South: A Reappraisal of Tolnay and Beck.” Explorations in Economic History 66: 106–16.

Cotet, Anca M, and Kevin K Tsui. 2013. “Oil and Conflict: What Does the Cross Country Evidence Really Show?” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 5(1): 49–80.

Crost, Benjamin, Joseph H Felter, and others. 2016. “Export Crops and Civil Conflict.” Empirical Studies of Conflict Working Paper (4).

Dagnelie, Olivier, Giacomo De Luca, and Jean Francois Maystadt. 2018. “Violence, Selection and Infant Mortality in Congo.” Journal of Health Economics 59.

De Winne, Jasmien. 2018. “The Consequences of Food Price Changes: A Macroeconomic Perspective.” PhD thesis. Ghent University.

Dube, Oeindrila, and Juan F Vargas. 2013. “Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia.” The Review of Economic Studies 80(4): 1384–1421.

Dube, Oeindrila, Omar García-Ponce, and Kevin Thom. 2016. “From Maize to Haze: Agricultural Shocks and the Growth of the Mexican Drug Sector.” Journal of the European Economic Association 14(5): 1181–1224.

Fetzer, Thiemo, Stephan Kyburz, and others. 2018. “Cohesive Institutions and Political Violence.” CAGE Online Working Paper Series (377).

Fjelde, Hanne. 2015. “Farming or Fighting? Agricultural Price Shocks and Civil War in Africa.” World Development 67: 525–34.

Galperin, Michael. 2016. “Economic Shocks and Insurgent Strategy.” Undergraduate Thesis.

Gehring, Kai, Sarah Langlotz, and Kienberger Stefan. 2018. “Stimulant or Depressant?: Resource-Related Income Shocks and Conflict.”

Giménez-Gómez, José-Manuel, and Yitagesu-Zewdu Zergawu. 2018. “The Impact of Social Heterogeneity and Commodity Price Shocks on Civil Conflicts.” Journal of Policy Modeling.

Gong, Erick, and Katherine A Sullivan. 2017. “Conflict and Coffee: Are Higher Coffee Prices Fuelling Rebellion in Uganda?” Journal of African Economies 26(3): 322–41.

Guardado, Jenny. 2018. “Land Tenure, Price Shocks, and Insurgency: Evidence from Peru and Colombia.” World Development 111: 256–69.

Hendrix, Cullen. 2014. “Oil Prices and Interstate Conflict Behavior.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 14(3).

Hendrix, Cullen, Stephan Haggard, and Beatriz Magaloni. 2009. “Grievance and Opportunity: Food Prices, Political Regime, and Protest.” In Presentation at the International Studies Association Convention, New York (August, 2009), Citeseer.

Hong, Ji Yeon, and Wenhui Yang. 2018. “Oilfields, Mosques and Violence: Is There a Resource Curse in Xinjiang?” British Journal of Political Science: 1–34.

Idrobo, Nicolás, Daniel Mejía, and Ana María Tribin. 2014. “Illegal Gold Mining and Violence in Colombia.” Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy 20(1): 83–111.

Jablonski, Ryan S, and Steven Oliver. 2013. “The Political Economy of Plunder: Economic Opportunity and Modern Piracy.” Journal of conflict resolution 57(4): 682–708.

Jensen, Christian B, Michelle Kuenzi, and Moritz P Rissmann. 2017. “Does Crime Pay Enough? Diamond Prices, Lootability and Ethnic War.” Conflict Management 5(1): 6.

Knorr, Alexander. 2015. “Economic Factors for Piracy: The Effect of Commodity Price Shocks.” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 38(8): 671–89.

Mamo, Nemera Gebeyehu. 2018. “Essays on Natural Resources in Africa: Local Economic Development, Multi-Ethnic Coalitions and Armed Conflict.” PhD thesis. University of Sussex.

Maystadt, Jean-François, and Olivier Ecker. 2014. “Extreme Weather and Civil War: Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia Through Livestock Price Shocks?” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 96(4): 1157–82.

Maystadt, Jean-François, Giacomo De Luca, Petros G Sekeris, and John Ulimwengu. 2014. “Mineral Resources and Conflicts in Drc: A Case of Ecological Fallacy?” Oxford Economic Papers 66(3): 721–49.

McGuirk, Eoin, and Marshall Burke. 2018. “The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa.” NBER Working Paper (23056).

Millán-Quijano, Jaime. 2015. “Internal Cocaine Trafficking and Armed Violence in Colombia.”

Morgan, Richard K, and Eric Reinhardt. 2015. Emory University, Atlanta, GA “Commodity Price Volatility and Civil Conflict.”

Musayev, Vusal. 2014. Commodity Price Shocks, Conflict and Growth: The Role of Institutional Quality and Political Violence. University Library of Munich, Germany. MPRA Paper. https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/59786.html.

O’Trakoun, John. 2015. “Food Price Uncertainty and Political Conflict.” International Finance 18(3): 299–320.

Parker, Dominic P, and Bryan Vadheim. 2017. “Resource Cursed or Policy Cursed? US Regulation of Conflict Minerals and Violence in the Congo.” Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 4(1): 1–49.

Raleigh, Clionadh, Hyun Jin Choi, and Dominic Kniveton. 2015. “The Devil Is in the Details: An Investigation of the Relationships Between Conflict, Food Price and Climate Across Africa.” Global Environmental Change 32: 187–99.

Tolonen, Anja. 2015. “Mining Booms in Africa and Local Welfare Effects: Labor Markets, Women’s Empowerment and Criminality.” PhD thesis. University of Gothenburg.

Vadlamannati, Krishna Chaitanya, and Indra De Soysa. 2018. “Oil Price Volatility and Political Unrest: Prudence and Protest in Producer and Consumer Societies, 1980-2013.”

Van Weezel, Stijn. 2016. “Food Imports, International Prices, and Violence in Africa.” Oxford Economic Papers 68(3): 758–81.